Saturday, 10 May 2025

California To FLIP Red In 2026?

100 Percent Fed Up
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A new poll released on Thursday suggests Californians may have finally had enough of Democratic control in the Golden State.

The statewide survey from DecipherAi, conducted by national pollster David Wolfson, said nearly 50% of likely voters would consider a Republican governor.

A closer look:

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Per KABC:

New polling released Thursday shows voters across California are feeling what is being called “the Trump Effect”, rejecting years of Democrat policies. Nearly half of likely California voters say they would consider voting for a Republican for Governor in 2026 (Republican party voter registration in California is just 25%). Polling was conducted in California over March 6th to 9th of likely Nov. 2026 voters by David Wolfson, a national Pollster, and Faculty Lecturer at Columbia University’s Political Analytics Graduate Program sponsored by the media firm Madison McQueen.

Other stunning findings show California’s Democrat Leaders are out touch:
● 83% of voters said gas prices are too high in California
● 73% support fully funding anti-crime Prop. 36, which State Democrat Leaders have refused to do
● 72% feel homelessness still is a big problem after years of Democrat control Sacramento
● 71% believe the Democrats in charge have not addressed the state’s high cost of living
● 69% think Democrats in Sacramento have not done enough to bring down energy/utility costs
● 62% support a “full independent investigation” of the recent Los Angeles Wildfires
● Only 24% of Californians think males (transgender) should compete in female sports

“Voters are increasingly concerned about the direction of California under one-party rule,” said Owen Brennan, president of Madison McQueen, according to KABC.

“On issue after issue, voters are seeing their quality of life fall and their cost of living rise,” Brennan added.

Newsweek reports:

California has historically been a heavily Democratic state, selecting a Democrat in every presidential election since 1992. But recent polls have indicated the tide could be turning on the Democrats in the Golden State. It comes after the state shifted toward the GOP by 12 points in 2024 compared to 2020, with Donald Trump increasing his vote share in nearly every county in the state. The Republicans also flipped three seats in the state Legislature last year.

If the Democratic Party loses ground in California, it could reshape the state’s leadership as early as 2026, when the next governor will be elected and most of California’s state Legislature will be up for election.

Amid the GOP’s recent success in the state, the California Republican Party is now seeking to capitalize on that momentum and break the Democratic supermajority, California Senate Republican Leader Brian Jones told Newsweek.

“Our mission is clear: break the Democratic supermajority and Fix California. As Senate minority leader, that means flipping four Senate seats next election. Californians are fed up with one-party rule,” Jones said.

A supermajority means holding at least two-thirds of the seats in a legislative body. The Democrats currently hold 90 seats across California’s state Assembly and Senate, amounting to 75 percent of the 120 seats. That means that the Republicans need to pick up seven seats in the Assembly and four in the Senate to break the Democratic supermajority.

Assembly Minority Leader James Gallagher of Yuba City told CalMatters that Republicans could target as many as eight Assembly districts in the Central Valley and Southern California to flip next year.

To do that, newly elected California Republican Party Chair Corrin Rankin said at a party convention in Sacramento last weekend that the party will be “going on the offense” and expanding efforts to convert voters in Democratic strongholds like Los Angeles and the San Francisco Bay Area.


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