According to a new Emerson College Polling/The Hill/PIX11 survey of New York voters, Donald Trump is gaining on Joe Biden in the deep-blue state.
Trump is within single digits of Biden.
In the poll, Biden led Trump 48 percent to 41 percent.
A new Emerson College Polling/The Hill/PIX11 survey of New York voters finds President Joe Biden with 48% support in the 2024 presidential election, while 41% support former President Donald Trump; 12% are undecided. When undecided voters are asked which candidate they lean toward, Biden’s lead increases to 10 points, 55% to 45%. With third-party candidates on the ballot, 44% support Biden, 38% Trump, 6% support Robert Kennedy Jr., 2% Cornel West, and 1% Jill Stein; 11% are undecided.
“The Emerson College poll surveyed 1,000 New York voters between May 28 and 29. It had a margin of error of 3 percentage points,” the New York Post reports.
It would be interesting to redo this survey after Thursday's guilty verdict in the “hush money” witch hunt.
Trump lost the Empire State in the 2016 and 2020 elections by 20+ points.
Biden leads Trump by single digits in New York: poll https://t.co/mqioQKub4L pic.twitter.com/B8s3q0rMyf
— New York Post (@nypost) May 31, 2024
Notably, independent voters in New York are leaning toward Trump.
Biden leads Trump by single digits in New York — independents have ‘flipped’ for ex-president: poll https://t.co/2qo5udRnn1 pic.twitter.com/ogbxxyz4Rz
— New York Post Metro (@nypmetro) May 31, 2024
“Independent voters in New York who traditionally vote for Democrats, according to exit polling, have flipped to lean toward Trump by a margin of 10 points, 43% to 33%,” Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling, said in a statement.
From the New York Post:
A Republican presidential candidate hasn’t won New York in the general election since 1984, when President Ronald Reagan beat former Vice President Walter Mondale by an 8-point margin.
In 2016, Trump lost the Empire State to Hillary Clinton by a 22.5-point margin, and in 2020, Biden defeated the former president by 23.2 points in New York.
Last week, the presumptive GOP nominee held his first campaign rally in New York — his birth state — since 2016.
The South Bronx event, permitted for 3,500 attendees, drew a crowd of between 8,000 and 10,000 people, law enforcement sources told The Post.
The rally, although not as large as Trump’s Wildwood, NJ, gathering three weeks ago, which drew about 100,000 people, was supposed to show that Trump isn’t “afraid” to show up in traditionally Democratic voting areas, a Trump campaign official said.
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