Saturday, 12 July 2025

Poll Shows GOP Trending To FLIP U.S. Senate Seat In Battleground State

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A new poll suggests Republicans have a significant chance to flip a U.S. Senate seat in New Hampshire and expand its majority in the mid-term elections.

The poll, conducted by Quantus Insights, has the state’s former Republican Gov. Chris Sununu leading Democratic Congressman Chris Pappas 53% to 44%.

“Neither Candidate Has Announced, But Our Early Polling Suggests a Strong Start for the GOP in the New Hampshire 2026 Senate Race,” Quantus Insights stated.

Per Quantus Insights:

While neither candidate has officially announced, both are widely expected to run, setting the stage for a pivotal contest in a battleground state.

Sununu’s early advantage is driven by overwhelming Republican support (94%), a solid lead among independents (52% to 44%), and a commanding performance among men (59% to 39%). Women are evenly split at 48%, while Sununu holds a key advantage among non-college voters (58%), a critical demographic in recent New Hampshire elections.

This matchup reflects a broader rightward shift in the state. In 2024, Donald Trump lost New Hampshire to Kamala Harris by 2.8 points, a marked improvement from his 7.3-point defeat to Joe Biden in 2020. While New Hampshire has long been a political battleground, this data suggests shifting electoral terrain—one where Sununu’s popularity and crossover appeal could make the Senate seat a formidable challenge for Democrats to defend.

With the retirement of Democratic Sen. Jeanne Shaheen, New Hampshire will be among the most closely-watched 2026 U.S. Senate races.

Democratic Senator In Critical State Will Not Seek Re-election

“Today, after careful consideration, I’m announcing that I have made the difficult decision not to seek reelection to the Senate in 2026,” Shaheen said.

“There are urgent challenges ahead, both here at home and around the world. And while I’m not seeking re-election – believe me – I am not retiring,” she added.

WATCH:

The GOP holds a 53-47 majority in the upper legislative chamber and seeks to expand its advantage by flipping the New Hampshire seat.

Fox News reports:

It has been 15 years since Republicans last won a Senate election in New Hampshire, with Democrats victorious in the past four elections.

"No Republican has won a Senate race in over a decade in New Hampshire, and that trend will continue in 2026. This is exactly the kind of state where the building midterm backlash against Republicans will hit their candidates especially hard," Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee spokesperson David Bergstein told Fox News in a statement.

But national Republicans see opportunities to flip the Senate seat in New Hampshire from blue to red, and the National Republican Senatorial Committee (NRSC) had already run ads targeting Shaheen over her defense of USAID funding that the Trump administration is axing.

"Another one! Shaheen's retirement is welcome news for Granite Staters eager for new leadership. New Hampshire has a proud tradition of electing common-sense Republicans - and will do so again in 2026,!" Sen. Tim Scott, the NRSC chair, said in a statement to Fox News.


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