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Germany Voted a New Government – What Will Change?

By Peter Koenig, February 24, 2025

On 23 February 2025 advanced elections were held in Germany towards a new Government, as the old Government coalition, the so-called “Traffic Light” – red (Social Democrats), yellow (Free Democratic Party), green (The Greens) – collapsed in early November 2024. This had been expected for some time. The advanced snap elections were no surprise. 

What came across for many – but not for all — as a surprise was the result of these snap elections. As was expected, the center-right CDU/CSU came out ahead with 28%, considerably less than they expected – they hoped for more than 30%. Second was the relatively new party (founded in 2013) Alternative for Germany (AfD – German acronym) with about 21%. 

Exit polls apparently indicated that about two-thirds of Germans prefer the values AfD stands for, as compared to those of the broken “traffic light” coalition. Former East Germany voted almost exclusively AfD.  

AfD is said to be a right-wing party. However, all things considered with reason, AfD is a common sense party, standing for national sovereignty, controlled immigration, anti-war, thus anti-NATO, and possibly considering DEXIT – meaning leaving the European Union, as well as the Euro, for more monetary sovereignty. 

AfD vouches also for renewed cooperation with Russia, which is a MUST, not just to revive Germany’s economy but to make Europe independent again, with a sovereign track, being able to freely choose her partners not just following the shifting dictate of the United States, and worldwide appearing as a weak vassal of Washington’s.

In terms of parliamentary seats (total 630), the result was even stronger for AfD. The winning party CDU/CSU (symbolic color black) will have 208 seats, and the runner up, AfD (blue) has 158 seats, together 360 seats. As a coalition, they would have more than secure absolute majority which is 316.

However, and this is where German Un-Reason comes to play, under the mandate of Olaf Scholz, the defunct chancellor, all parties pledged, they would not enter a coalition with AfD under any circumstances because they considered AfD a neo-Nazi party. AfD has been “stonewalled”, as they call it.

Germany also pledged they would continue supporting Ukraine’s war against Russia, no matter what Presidents Trump-Putin negotiations come up with. They feel offended and side-kicked for not having been invited to the negotiations.

Chancellor Scholz even attempted to forbid the AfD as a party. It did not fly. But how undemocratic! As JD Vance, US Vice President, pointedly said at the Munich Security Conference on 14 February.  

Prohibiting the second largest party would be an absolute nonsense; just because AfD does not follow the then US President Biden (US neoliberal globalist Democrats) mandate. As if the US would have to set the tone to which Europe may dance. 

As an anecdote, President Trump congratulated Alice Weidel, co-founder and front person of the AfD party, for her party’s excellent election results. So, the Washington wind has shifted perhaps by as much as 180 degrees. How do “puppets”, 27 of them dis-united under the EU, react? 

It is an unspoken and unwritten fact that at least half of the EU members would want to share AfD values, however they do not dare say so, except for Viktor Orban from Hungary. They feel too weak to express their opinions, lest they might be punished or sanctioned by the ever-more tyrannical EU leadership.

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The likely Chancellor to be, Friedrich Merz, a former executive of BlackRock Germany, leader of the CDU/CSU party, must therefore avoid the “stonewalled” party and start coalition negotiations with the third party, the Social Democrats, Scholz’s party. This may be extremely difficult as ideologically they are far apart. CDU/CSU are much closer to AfD in strategic thinking. 

In a CDU/CSU-SP alliance, lots on concessions might be needed on both sides. Even if they are willing to make these concessions for the sake of the coalition, nobody knows how long the compromise will last before there will be rifts appearing – and the coalition may fall apart again. Many analysts predict a repeat early election, as they may not even come to an agreement within the next couple of months during which time a new Government should be in place. The target for Mr. Merz is early April, the deadline is more likely early May 2025.

For example, one key issue between the two coalition partners-to-be is immigration. Throughout the campaign, Merz and his party talked about controlled immigration. Whereas the Socialists want to keep the doors wide open, à la Joe Biden USA, not even thinking of adjusting it to the new US Administration. In a recent speech, Merz said and repeated, “Here nobody speaks of “controlled Immigration. Our borders are and remain open.” Here we go: first concession! Will it last?

Mr. Merz said already in strong terms that he wants an independent Germany and Europe, distancing the bloc from the Trump-USA. This would parallel the fiercely anti-US drive of the unelected EU leadership; the typical deceptive game of the other side of the same coin, a rather primitive approach of Klaus Schwab’s WEF which itself is just a puppet for the forces behind it.

Rumors have it, though informally and insinuating confirmed by President Trump’s brilliant State of the Union Address tonight, that he will invite Chancellor-to-be Merz to the White House in the not-too-distant future as he did with France’s Macron ten days ago. Macron may still be nominally pro-Europe, pro-Ukraine war and pro-NATO but since his surreptitious visit to the White Hose, he remains just a lame duck leader of the Big Ones in Europe.

Mr. Trump had a conciliatory tone for Europe, calling them friends. Although this may be purely strategic, since Trump wants Europe on his side for rebuilding ties with Russia. Europe will eventually go along because “alone” between the Atlantic Ocean and the great contiguous Eurasian Continent, life might become mighty hard. 

Conciliatory also in more ways than one. When Mr. Trump was talking about tariffs during his State of the Union speech, he was no longer throwing around these insane rates of 25%, 50% or 100%, but assured the world that tariffs will be reciprocal which sounds like a fair deal. That must be a relief for Europe’s struggling economies.

A couple of days ago, Trump also hinted at completing the second phase Nord Stream pipeline [the one that was not blown up, but was never finished], so that Russian gas could again flow to economically wrecked Europe, especially Germany which badly needs cheap energy to revamp her economy. At first, the German Government childishly under false loyalty to the dying Biden-globalists may refuse. But business and industrial pressure will either overturn a resisting government or bring them to reason. 

On another breaking news, President Trump announced tonight that just before his State of the Union message, he had received a conciliatory letter from Ukraine President Zelensky, telling him he wants Peace and that he wants him, President Trump, to negotiate Peace. This adds a new dimension in the European defiant resistance to Peace. 

Once Germany calls the tune, the rest of Europe, including the bloc, if by then it had survived, will follow the new trend of a new US of A – which very likely will want a more sovereign Europe, or sovereign European countries, as partners.

With Ukraine declaring they want Peace, no longer war, ambitious Merz, rather than risk a re-election and losing, especially after his visit to Washington, where Trump will receive him probably with positive words for AfD, may reconsider breaking the “stonewall” and may be seeking, after all, a coalition with AfD. 

These predictions are just that, speculations blowing in the wind. In these chaotic days, we must be prepared that our ideas and forward-looking wishes might be overthrown in the glimpse of a second – as counter-chaos may enter the stage anytime.