A panel of election ‘experts’ on CNN looked distraught as an analyst explained that the early voting numbers look very poor for the Democrats.
Marc Lotter was flashed looks as if he’d just pissed in the punch bowl when he explained that “The math doesn’t work.”
“The Democrats are down 1.7 million early votes in the battleground states in urban areas,” he added.
"The math doesn't work. The Democrats are down 1.7 million early votes in the battleground states in urban areas."
— Kyle Becker (@kylenabecker) November 5, 2024
"They are down 1.4 million votes in the battleground states among women voters."
"Rural voters have overperformed early by 300,000."
"Democrats have to win their… pic.twitter.com/zarBQ7RY7o
“Democrats have to win their races early. Republicans generally win them on election day,” Lotter, a former Trump strategist, continued.
“The margins don’t add up right now for the Democrats in any of these battleground states,” he further urged.
Ooof look at their faces.
Early indications suggest that Harris is likely to have performed worse than pudding brained Joe Biden would have.
Looking at the tea leaves in Georgia, there appears to be a lack of Black voter enthusiasm for Kamala compared to prior Democratic presidential candidates.
— Kyle Becker (@kylenabecker) November 5, 2024
She might actually be a worse candidate than Joe Biden! 😂 pic.twitter.com/uF8WRKfDxR
Real Clear Polling’s final outlook has Trump winning comfortably.
More: https://t.co/mw4omqcALX pic.twitter.com/TrIH0ztfqi
— RealClearPolitics (@RCPolitics) November 5, 2024
Nate Silver has also noted that if underestimation of Trump is at a similar level to 2016 and 2020, then Trump is 80%+ likely to win.
According to todays model from Nate Silver, if the poll underestimation of Trump is of a similar magnitude as it was in 2016 and 2020, Trump is 80%+ to win pic.twitter.com/VQe2dLx2r1
— Jonatan Pallesen (@jonatanpallesen) November 4, 2024
Trump voters are warning that none of this should be an excuse for complacency.
Republicans must vote, vote, vote!
— Think for Yourself (@PhilipBLee) November 5, 2024
Do not be complacent.
Early lead is not dispositive.
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