Major Election Forecasters Say Trump Widening Lead, On Course For “Comfortable Win”
Major election forecasters are predicting a Trump win Tuesday, with some noting that his lead is widening in key states and that his victory should be “comfortable.”
The Telegraph election forecaster notes “Using years of election results, demographic trends and both current and historical polling, our model forecasts that Trump is on track to win 289 Electoral College votes to Kamala Harris’s 249 votes.”
🔴 Donald Trump’s predicted margin of victory is widening as the race approaches its final days, The Telegraph’s election forecaster now predicts.
— Telegraph US (@TelegraphUS) October 31, 2024
🔗 Read more: https://t.co/EhezJsLLef pic.twitter.com/5oOOYNsJRc
The forecast suggests that Trump is going to win in five of the seven swing states.
“The model suggests that the Republicans are the most likely to win tightly fought races in Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina and Wisconsin,” the Telegraph states.
“As of Wednesaday, he is also predicted to win Pennsylvania with its 19 Electoral College votes,” the outlet adds.
The forecast has Kamala Harris most likely winning only in Michigan and Nevada.
It notes that Trump took a significant lead last week and has “growing momentum.”
Meanwhile, AtlasIntel, another model that was the most accurate of 2020 predicts Trump winning all seven battleground states.
#NEW – Electoral Map Based on @atlas_intel polling (full field)
— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) October 31, 2024
🟥 Trump 312 🏆
🟦 Harris 226
——
Arizona – 🔴 Trump +4.9
North Carolina – 🔴 Trump +4.0
Nevada – 🔴 Trump +3.6
Georgia – 🔴 Trump +1.6
Pennsylvania – 🔴 Trump +1.1
Michigan – 🔴 Trump +0.9
Wisconsin – 🔴 Trump +0.3… https://t.co/gpLZ59xJG6 pic.twitter.com/N0Mf2mQ0AT
📊ATLAS POLLS – SWING STATES
— AtlasIntel (@atlas_intel) October 31, 2024
Harris leads in only one of the 7 decisive swing states for the Electoral College outcome: Wisconsin. Trump's advantage over his opponent is most significant in states such as AZ, NV and NC. The race is tight in the Rust Belt swing states. pic.twitter.com/H0AqUuraoL
In that scenario,Trump would win a whopping 312 electoral votes.
I am seeing a coordinated left-wing operation claiming there is a "momentum shift" towards Harris.
— Collin Rugg (@CollinRugg) October 31, 2024
I've seen this on X, TT, IG and you are now seeing it in the media. It has ramped up in the past few days.
They are creating a narrative that Kamala Harris is seeing a surprising…
This week, other models from The Economist, Real Clear Politics, FiveThirtyEight and Nate Silver have all shifted to forecasting Trump as the most likely winner.
#NEW The Economist 2024 election forecast update
— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) October 29, 2024
🔴 Trump: 56%
🔵 Harris: 44%
Battleground estimates:
🔵 MI: Harris+0.5
🔴 NV: Trump+0.2
🔴 WI: Trump+1
🔴 PA: Trump+1
🔴 GA: Trump+2
🔴 AZ: Trump+2
🔴 NC: Trump+2 pic.twitter.com/go4sXMxXAq
As an 86 point electoral favorite, Real Clear Politics predicts a LANDSLIDE for Trump. pic.twitter.com/s3jgdkE8eq
— Justin Theory (@realJustATheory) October 28, 2024
#NEW Nate Silver 2024 election forecast update
— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) October 31, 2024
🔴 Trump: 53.4%
🔵 Harris: 46.2% pic.twitter.com/Q5QMTPHFUC
#NEW The Economist 2024 election forecast update
— Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) October 29, 2024
🔴 Trump: 56%
🔵 Harris: 44%
Battleground estimates:
🔵 MI: Harris+0.5
🔴 NV: Trump+0.2
🔴 WI: Trump+1
🔴 PA: Trump+1
🔴 GA: Trump+2
🔴 AZ: Trump+2
🔴 NC: Trump+2 pic.twitter.com/go4sXMxXAq
The projection from the liberal The Economist. pic.twitter.com/hfVy5g2P6B
— Aaron Ginn (@aginnt) October 25, 2024
Sure looks like panic time for the Democrats.
Your support is crucial in helping us defeat mass censorship. Please consider donating via Locals or check out our unique merch. Follow us on X @ModernityNews.
Source link