In an insightful Thursday WarRoom conversation with Steve Bannon, Breitbart’s Matt Boyle emphasized a pivotal early voting trend: Republicans are breaking new ground in key swing states, potentially flipping the script on the 2024 election. According to Boyle, the surge in GOP early voting—especially among low-propensity voters—could determine the outcome if voters sustain their turnout through Election Day. Here’s what Boyle says needs to happen for Republicans to clinch victory and why men need to pay attention.
Republicans Lead Early Voting in Battleground States
Boyle explained the unprecedented numbers coming out of traditional battlegrounds. “For the first time in history,” he noted, “Republicans lead early voting in North Carolina and Arizona.” In Nevada, traditionally a Democratic stronghold, GOP early voting is surging, reflecting strong organization and voter engagement. These increases, Boyle emphasized, are due to the GOP’s strategy to reach "low-propensity voters” or those unlikely to wait in long lines on Election Day. Early turnout is also up in states like Georgia, where, as Boyle described, “red counties that Trump won in 2020 are showing much higher turnout.”
Key States that Could Decide the 2024 Election
Boyle pointed to three states as the key to winning 2024: Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania. These swing states, he argued, represent "the Free States” that could deliver the White House to Republicans if GOP turnout remains high. “If Trump wins one of those three,” he predicted, “he will very likely be the next president of the United States.”
In Pennsylvania, where Democrats historically hold a firewall of early votes, the numbers suggest vulnerability. "The Democrat firewall…seems weak,” Boyle explained, noting that Democrats currently lead by around 380,000 votes but that GOP ballot requests are strong. The GOP also won a recent legal battle in Bucks County to protect early voting access. For Boyle, this kind of progress shows promise, but only if voters "show up and close the gap” through in-person voting or by returning their mail-in ballots immediately.
Motivating Voters to Seal the Deal
Boyle emphasized the importance of voter motivation in Pennsylvania, particularly in historically Republican counties where turnout has lagged in previous elections. He urged supporters to "make sure their ballots are turned in” or that they show up to vote in person. Key demographics for GOP success include men, young voters, and minority communities, whom Boyle called on to get "off the couch” and ensure their votes count.
According to Boyle, a crucial message for voters is the value of voting early. This approach, he says, helps avoid long lines on Election Day and reduces the risk of lost votes due to unexpected delays. “Get out now and vote,” he urged, calling it a vital strategy to free up resources for Election Day mobilization. He and Bannon underscored that motivating voters to act early—and helping them navigate the voting process—is essential to closing the gap with Democrats.
Beating Democrats at Their Own Game
Boyle and Bannon highlighted the GOP’s strategy to replicate the Democrat’s early voting playbook from 2020, a year when the Democrats used extended voting options to secure high turnout. Bannon described it as “turning election day into election season,” a tactic that Boyle believes Republicans are mastering this cycle. "The story of this election will be if Republicans beat Democrats at their own game,” he said.
With an energized grassroots movement led by groups like Turning Point USA, Charlie Kirk’s network, and other independent organizations, Boyle believes Republicans have developed a competitive edge in early turnout. GOP leaders hope to replicate Democrats’ 2020 success by making voting accessible and by spreading the word through alternative media channels rather than relying on expensive TV ads. “Trump’s going to be outspent five or six times over in ads,” Boyle observed, “but we have other ways to get our message out.”
Close Strong: The Final Push for Election Day
As the weekend approaches, Bannon and Boyle emphasized the need to "finish strong” and ensure every GOP ballot is counted. They noted the need for flawless Election Day operations despite challenges that could arise in turnout-heavy counties. Boyle expressed optimism about the numbers but emphasized that Republicans must remain vigilant. The goal, Boyle insisted, is to "get voters out early” without diminishing the all-important turnout on Election Day.
In a final push, Boyle specifically targeted male voters, stating, "Men have to keep turning out.” If Republicans can keep up the momentum through Election Day and mobilize the remaining ballots, Boyle and Bannon agree that the GOP could make history by winning the battleground states—and, possibly, the presidency.
For more of our coverage of Matt Boyle:
President Trump Vs. Kamala Harris: The Energy Showdown at McDonald’s and Beyond, Matt Boyle Explains
For more for Matt Boyles’s Thursday comments, watch this full WarRoom segment:
Boyle: The Race Is Really Gonna Come Down To The Final Three States
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