Vice President Kamala Harris has been under the microscope after Joe Biden threw in the towel and passed the torch to her. As she scrambles to charm the critical young voter bloc, the hard numbers are telling a less-than-stellar story about her pull with the youth.

CNN’s Harry Enten recently broke down the electoral dynamics, revealing some concerning trends for the Vice President. “Joe Biden won voters under the age of 35 by 21 points. What do we see with Kamala Harris? Well, she’s still ahead, but the margin here is significantly less than what we saw with Joe Biden back in 2020,” Enten explained. Harris currently leads by just nine points among this demographic, a decline from Biden’s performance.

The situation becomes more nuanced when considering voter motivation, a key factor in turning support into actual votes. “Do Democrats say they’re more motivated to turn out after Biden left the race? Well, we do see a significant portion of Democrats who say yes, 39 percent. The thing I was interested in was the disproportionately younger voters who said that they were more likely to turn out or more motivated to turn out, and what we see here is that it’s 42 percent. Not a big difference between 42 and 39 percent,” added Enten.

The numbers raise doubts about Harris’s unique appeal to young voters, a segment that traditionally leans Democrat. “This idea, again, that the vice president has unique potential to dig in and get young voters to turn out, John, it’s just not there in the numbers despite all the internet memes that are going around,” he said.

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Further compounding Harris’s challenges is a noticeable shift in party identification among young voters. According to a Pew Research study, the percentage of young voters identifying as Democrats or leaning Democratic has dropped from 56 percent in 2020 to 49 percent in 2024. Simultaneously, Republican identification in the same age group rose significantly.

Enten’s analysis suggests that while Harris may have some advantages over a generic Democrat candidate, these are not substantial enough to counter the broader trends. “Kamala Harris may be unique in some ways. Maybe she does slightly better than the generic Democrat, but not all that much,” he concluded.

After weeks of political turmoil, the landscape of this year’s presidential race is poised for a drastic transformation. Traditionally, sitting presidents benefit from incumbency when seeking reelection; however, for Biden, this was proven to be more of a hindrance. Discontent was palpable among Democrat voters, with a majority expressing their dissatisfaction with the nation’s current state and condemning the political and economic systems as dysfunctional. They are clamoring for change—a sentiment that former President Donald Trump has capitalized on.

According to a new CNN poll by SSRS, taken after Biden withdrew from the reelection race, former President Trump is edging out Vice President Harris with 49% of nationwide registered voter support compared to Harris’ 46%. This does represent a tighter race than polls indicated in a Biden-Trump matchup. The survey also revealed broad support for Biden’s decision to not seek reelection and to finish his term.

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