New polling shows Kari Lake cruising to victory in Tuesday’s Arizona Republican U.S. Senate primary against Pinal County Sheriff Mark Lamb.

The poll, which was conducted by the Phoenix-based research firm Noble Predictive Insights (NPI) from July 22-23, showed Lake leading by double digits among likely Republican voters. “Lake is, though, sitting at the coveted 50 percent threshold if the election were held today, and Lamb only at 38 percent,” NPI CEO Mike Noble told KTAR News 92.3 FM after the survey’s findings were released on Monday morning.

A third candidate, Elizabeth Rye, was polling at just three percent. An additional nine percent of voters remain undecided.

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Lake’s lead was not as wide when adjusting for early voting, as the former gubernatorial nominee’s lead over Lamb drops to just six percentage points among those who have already voted. She leads 56 percent to 45 percent among those who have yet to cast their ballots, however.

Lake’s lead is especially high among voters who have a favorable opinion of former President Donald Trump. Among these voters, lead holds a 21-point lead over Lamb.

Lamb has picked up ground since May, when NPI polling showed Lake leading with 46 percent to Lamb’s 21 percent, though it appears as though he will struggle to be able to close the gap completely.

The eventual Republican nominee will be facing off against U.S. Rep. Ruben Gallego (D-AZ) in November, the only Democrat running in the race. The seat is currently held by Senator Kyrsten Sinema, who was elected as a Democrat before switching her party affiliation to independent.

Sinema announced that she will not be seeking re-election earlier this year.

While Gallego has enjoyed a lead in a hypothetical match-up with Lake, the Trump-endorsed candidate appears to be gaining ground. Gallego currently enjoys just a 3.4 percent lead in the RealClearPolitics polling average as of this report.

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