Dave Bossie Sees 2024 Battlegrounds Mirroring 2016

Dave Bossie, a key Republican strategist, believes the 2024 election will play out similarly to Donald Trump’s successful 2016 campaign. According to him, the path to victory hinges on securing the same battleground states that made Trump president eight years ago. Here’s a breakdown of Bossie’s analysis and why he’s confident about Trump’s chances.

2016 and 2024: Same States, Same Strategy

Bossie pointed out that the core battleground states from 2016 remain pivotal in 2024. He specifically highlighted North Carolina, Arizona, and Georgia. In 2016, these states were crucial to Trump’s win, and they will likely decide the 2024 election. According to Bossie, "Our path to 270 ran through the exact same states we’re running through right now.”

In his view, securing these three states early can create momentum. Bossie argues that flipping these states back to Trump would reset the election map and put the campaign on solid ground.

Polling Trends Favor Trump in Battleground States

Bossie is confident about Trump’s current polling in key battlegrounds. He mentioned that in both 2016 and 2020, Trump was trailing in states like Michigan and Wisconsin during the final weeks. Despite trailing in the polls, Trump managed a surprise win in 2016. Bossie claims that the polling situation is better now than in those past cycles. He emphasized that Trump is either "in a dead heat or leading” in the critical battlegrounds.

This shift, according to Bossie, indicates a return to pre-2020 voting trends. He believes that Trump’s message is resonating more now, particularly in swing states, compared to the 2020 cycle.

Importance of Battleground States for Electoral Victory

Bossie stressed that the focus should be on winning the Electoral College, not the popular vote. He said, "I don’t really care… about what the popular vote is in the state of California or New York.” Instead, he argues that the path to 270 electoral votes must involve the battleground states Trump captured in 2016.

For Bossie, Arizona and Georgia are essential. He believes that controversies from 2020 in these states, including issues with local officials, have left voters more receptive to Trump’s message now. If Trump can recapture Arizona and Georgia, Bossie suggests that a win in the Electoral College becomes much more achievable.

Common-Sense Policies as Key to Battleground Success

Bossie linked Trump’s rise in the battleground polls to what he calls "common sense” policies. He highlighted key voter concerns like immigration, crime, and the economy. These issues, he claims, are favoring Trump due to dissatisfaction with the current administration’s handling. He argued that voters in battleground states are moving back to Trump’s positions on energy, foreign policy, and border security.

Bossie pointed out that states with large blue cities, like Michigan and Wisconsin, have seen Trump close polling gaps quickly. He ties this shift to voters’ desire for a return to pre-2020 stability.

Momentum Building for a Repeat of 2016

Dave Bossie believes that the battleground landscape in 2024 looks much like 2016. With North Carolina, Arizona, and Georgia as key targets, he’s optimistic about Trump’s chances. According to Bossie, if Trump wins these states and secures a few Rust Belt victories, a path to the required 270 electoral votes will be clear. In his words, "Donald Trump has an opportunity to win 270 electoral votes by getting one of several states that are very close or he’s leading in.”

Bossie’s analysis suggests a focus on targeted campaigning and voter outreach, particularly in battleground regions. The campaign’s strategy mirrors 2016’s successful formula, aiming to pull together a coalition of disaffected voters and those eager for a change in leadership.

For more from Dave Bossie watch Tuesday’s WarRoom:

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