Dan Franzese’s campaign in Florida’s 22nd Congressional District against incumbent Democrat Lois Frankel is shaping up to be a winnable race. With strong polling indicators, focused voter outreach, and critical vulnerabilities in Frankel’s record, Franzese is in a prime position to flip this crucial seat for Republicans. Pollster John McLaughlin believes that with targeted action and voter mobilization, the GOP can win in this historically Democratic stronghold.
McLaughlin summed it up: "This is more than just a local race; this could change the course of the next Congress.”
A Redrawn District Favors Franzese
Franzese appeared on the WarRoom with McLaughlin to talk about the race to Peter Navarro on Wednesday.
The redistricting of Florida’s 22nd district has turned what was once a Democratic stronghold into a competitive battlefield. This shift offers Franzese a prime opportunity, and he is ready to capitalize. In the 2022 election, Franzese earned an impressive 45% of the vote against Frankel, a result that shocked many. "I’ve gotten better, the district’s gotten a lot better, and Lois Frankel has gotten a lot worse,” Franzese stated, confident in his ability to clinch victory this time around.
McLaughlin, a seasoned pollster, echoed this sentiment: "Frankel is under 50% in our polls… and if we get her unfavorables up to 40% within three weeks, Dan’s going to win.” The numbers are trending in Franzese’s favor, especially as voters express dissatisfaction with Frankel’s voting record on hot-button issues like immigration and gender policy.
Voter Dissatisfaction With Frankel’s Record
Franzese’s campaign is focused on exposing Lois Frankel’s vulnerabilities, particularly her support for controversial liberal policies. According to McLaughlin, Frankel’s support for taxpayer-funded benefits for illegal immigrants and votes allowing biological men in women’s sports are significant weak spots. "These issues resonate with voters who feel their values are being ignored,” McLaughlin explained.
Franzese’s strategy revolves around directly engaging with these disillusioned voters. He is actively working to mobilize Catholics and Jewish Americans, key demographics that are shifting away from the Democratic Party. "Catholics seem to be moving swiftly away from the Democrats,” McLaughlin observed, noting that Franzese’s ground game, particularly his door-to-door outreach, is critical to winning over these voters.
What’s Needed for Victory
To secure victory, Franzese needs continued voter engagement and financial backing. McLaughlin emphasized the importance of raising Frankel’s unfavorability among voters in the final weeks of the campaign. Franzese’s on-the-ground efforts need to be complemented by robust media exposure and voter turnout efforts. "This is a winnable race, and with voter turnout, it could be an upset,” McLaughlin concluded.
Peter Navarro, who is supporting Franzese, called on listeners to get involved by contacting House Speaker Mike Johnson and urging national GOP support for the campaign. "We need everyone on board to flip this seat,” Navarro said. He stressed that flipping this district could be pivotal in securing a Republican majority in the House of Representatives.
The Stakes: Why This Race Matters
Winning Florida’s 22nd district is not just about defeating Lois Frankel—it’s about shifting the balance of power in Congress. As one of the key battlegrounds, flipping this seat could help Republicans regain control of the House, allowing them to challenge the Biden administration’s policies more effectively.
For more context watch from Wednesday’s WarRoom:
FL-22 Candidate Dan Franzese Discusses Rematch Against Lois Frankel
“Kamala Harris is not going this year.”: John McLaughlin On Kamala Harris Abandoning Religious Voters
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