Bill Maher sat down with journalist Kara Swisher in his latest episode and gave his two cents on the 2024 presidential nominees. “Almost everybody who I could think of who I really respect, we're kind of all on the same page here: which is we lose our credibility if we don't talk about… as if they're not going to notice Biden's old,” Maher started as he foreshadowed his prediction for 2o24.

“First of all, I think it's a moot point at this point. He's [Biden] going to f*cking lose,” Maher said, despite Trump's recent guilty verdict in New York.

“There's also something called the reverse: the shy Trump voter,” Maher continued. “The shy Trump voter is specifically something else. The shy Trump voter is the one who's going to vote for Trump, but doesn't want you to know it because it's a little de classé and they don't want it in whatever the company they're in. I mean, any place you went in this town, no one would say they're voting for Trump, and I'm sure he's going to get some votes.”

Recent polls have indicated a neck-and-neck race between Trump and Biden; however, the full ramifications of last week's verdict have yet to be seen with a sentencing scheduled for July. Trump was convicted by a Manhattan jury finding him guilty of all 34 counts in the falsification of business records linked to the Stormy Daniels hush money scandal. The verdict marked Trump as the first U.S. president in history to be convicted of a felony.

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Trump has vehemently denounced the proceedings as “a rigged, disgraceful trial” influenced by political motivations. He also accused Judge Juan Merchan of being “corrupt” and slammed the trial’s location in a district where he claimed to have minimal support.

“We were at 5 percent or 6 percent in this district, in this area,” Trump explained. While he is seen as more polarizing than Joe Biden as a candidate, the former President's odds for 2024 are improving. Trump's growing favorability has also leaked into other demographics compared to previous elections; recent polls show Trump holding more minority support than ever before.

NBC News reported:

The headline of a Reuters/Ipsos poll released Saturday stated that 1 in 10 Republicans said they are less likely to vote for Trump after the verdict. But a fair warning: Those voters are in the clear minority of their party.

In fact, in the same poll, 55% of Republican voters said the verdict didn’t make a difference to their vote, and 34% said it made them more likely to vote for Trump.

What’s more, the 1 in 10 GOP voters who said they were less likely to vote for Trump were nearly identical to what an NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist poll found before the verdict. That survey, conducted May 21-23, showed that 10% of Republicans said they would be less likely to vote for Trump if he was convicted, 25% said they would be more likely and 68% said it would make no difference.

Make no mistake: Even a sliver of Republicans defecting from Trump could be decisive five months from now. But the major takeaway — right now — is how 9 in 10 Republicans are standing behind him in the Reuters/Ipsos poll.

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