By Michael Every of Rabobank
The tendency for the rate of things to fall
Markets are trying to get past a report on how devastating AI could be for employment. There are push-backs: it ignores resource constraints and Schumpeterian creative destruction, and echoes Marx’s Tendency for the Rate of Profits to Fall. Yet Anthropic just released desk-top plug-ins plugins aimed at HR, design, engineering, ops, financial analysis, investment banking, equity research, private equity, and wealth management, e.g., it can do all the analysis in a spreadsheet, write the report on it, and make the presentation. It seems illogical this won’t see a surge in unemployment even if AI still makes key errors that require experience to spot – the youngest cohort of workers will miss out, meaning they don’t get the experience needed to be useful later.



