Jasmine Crockett Leads Texas Senate Primary by 12 Points

The numbers are in. Jasmine Crockett is running away with the Texas Democratic Senate primary. A new University of Texas poll shows the radical progressive congresswoman leading state Representative James Talarico by 12 points. This isn’t a statistical tie. This is a blowout in the making. From The Gateway Pundit:

“A new University of Texas poll shows U.S. Rep. Jasmine Crockett leading opponent James Talarico by 12 points in the Texas Democratic Senate primary. The survey, conducted between the 2nd and 16th of February, found Crockett at 56 percent and Talarico at 44 percent among likely Democratic primary voters.”

The poll sampled 369 likely Democratic voters with a margin of error of plus or minus 5.1 percentage points. Crockett’s advantage comes largely from overwhelming support among Black voters, where she captured 87 percent support. She also leads among seniors and working-class voters without college degrees. This is the same Jasmine Crockett who declared “Texas is racist” while running for a Senate seat in the very state she claims to despise. The same politician who plays the race card at every opportunity. The same progressive extremist who makes AOC look moderate by comparison.

Jasmine Crockett: Polling indicates I can beat a Republican for Senate in TX:

“The only reason that I'm continuing to consider whether or not I do this is because my polling says I can win."

She says to expect an announcement by Thanksgiving.

She’s gonna run. pic.twitter.com/HAWOEII8Kj

— Western Lensman (@WesternLensman) November 23, 2025

Talarico isn’t exactly a conservative alternative. He’s a Democrat state representative with his own liberal voting record. But Crockett’s brand of identity politics and racial grievance makes him look like a moderate by comparison. Some Texas Democrats seem to recognize the danger. A CNN segment featured a Democratic voter explaining she chose Talarico because “we need somebody who can win” in the general election. From Fox News:

“A Texas Democratic voter told CNN that she was choosing James Talarico over Rep. Jasmine Crockett in the Senate primary for his general electability.”

Jasmine Crockett kicks off TX Senate bid: “There are those that say ain’t no way, we done tried it 50 times already. Let me be clear, y’all ain’t never tried it the JC way!" pic.twitter.com/XADIiCuVCW

— Western Lensman (@WesternLensman) December 9, 2025

Crockett recently suggested that attacks from Talarico and his supporters were racially motivated. During an interview, she claimed that “darkening my skin” in campaign materials was evidence of racism. This is her playbook. When challenged, she doesn’t defend her radical positions. She cries racism.

New: U.S. Rep. Jasmine Crockett has a double-digit lead over state Rep. James Talarico in the final days of Texas’ Senate Democratic primary, according to a new poll released Wednesday. https://t.co/ZfQMOBVhG0

— Texas Tribune (@TexasTribune) February 25, 2026

The Republican primary remains tight. Attorney General Ken Paxton leads Senator John Cornyn 36 percent to 34 percent, with Congressman Wesley Hunt at 26 percent. Neither Paxton nor Cornyn cleared the 50 percent threshold needed to avoid a runoff. This means Crockett could face any of three potential Republican opponents in November. From The Texas Tribune:

“The UT poll comes on the heels of a survey by the University of Houston’s Hobby School of Public Affairs, fielded in late January, that found Crockett leading Talarico by 8 percentage points.”

The implications are clear. If Crockett wins the primary and Paxton wins the Republican nomination, Texas could be looking at a Senate seat held by a progressive extremist who believes the state she represents is fundamentally racist. This is the stakes of 2026.

Welcome to the show, Jasmine Crockett.

The next Senator from Texas must be able to stand on their record, their resume, and their accomplishments.

I’m ready to have that debate every single day.

I’m ready to be judged not by the color of my skin, but by the content of my… pic.twitter.com/ZB1herbYAH

— Wesley Hunt (@WesleyHuntTX) December 9, 2025

Talarico actually performs better in general election matchups against Republicans. According to polling, Talarico defeats Paxton by 3 points while Crockett trails Paxton by 1. Against Cornyn, Talarico loses by just 3 points while Crockett loses by 7. Democrats are making a choice between ideological purity and electability. They’re choosing the progressive purist. Early voting has already begun in Texas. The primary is March 3rd. Twelve points is a significant lead, but Talarico has been gaining ground. Whether that momentum is enough to overcome Crockett’s built-in advantages with the Democratic base remains to be seen.

Jasmine Crockett, seeking a Senate seat in Texas:

“Texas is racist.”

pic.twitter.com/qqAJrkTuTE

— Breaking911 (@Breaking911) January 12, 2026

Texas Democrats have a decision to make. They can nominate a candidate who thinks their state is racist, who sees white supremacy behind every policy disagreement, and who would bring the politics of the Squad to the United States Senate. Or they can choose someone who might actually compete in November. The poll numbers suggest they’re choosing the radical. The rest of Texas will have something to say about that in November.

Source link