Texas is seeing a swarm of new voters for Tuesday's election - and many are Hispanics who sat out the last presidential vote.
Over 763,000 Texans have cast early ballots despite not voting in the 2024 presidential election, according to figures shared by Democratic data analyst Tom Bonier.
He notes that the number includes more than 367,000 Hispanic voters, who account for nearly half of the surge. Earlier figures from Bonier showed 39 percent of those Hispanic voters were under 30.
The unexpected spike is being seen as a bright sign for Democrats, with some strategists holding the belief they are turning out against President Trump's harsh immigration policies and flailing economic record.
'Just jaw-dropping!!! A Democratic wave and a Latino Tsunami on the way!!!,' commented Democratic strategist Maria Cardona on X.
Hispanic voters swung dramatically to support Trump in 2024, especially in Texas' Rio Grande Valley, which borders Mexico.
However, now actions by the Trump administration that some see as immigration overreach appears to have shattered the coalition that backed the now second-term president.
The turnout statistic from the Lone Star State comes as Republican US Senate candidate Ken Paxton has apparently removed a stop at the Alamo from his campaign bus tour schedule.
Republican US Senate candidate, Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton arrives for a campaign event at Cullen Yards on October 31, 2026 in Fort Worth, Texas
Tourists pose for a souvenir photograph in front of Mission San Antonio de Valero, better known as The Alamo. The former Franciscan mission was the site of the Battle of the Alamo in 1836 during Texas' war for independence from Mexico where Texian defenders were defeated by Mexican troops under General Antonio Lopez de Santa Anna
Paxton planned to hold his final campaign event at the Alamo, one of the key sites of the Texas Revolution, but instead plans to stop on Monday in Conroe and Allen, over 300 miles away.
However, the Alamo does maintain a designated free-speech zone on the complex that can be used without a permit, subject to restrictions including no amplified audio, tents, or tables.
It was unclear whether Paxton planned to use that area, another part of the complex, or nearby property for his initially announced bus stop.
Paxton, who currently serves as Texas' attorney general, is running in a close race against Democrat James Talarico.
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In a statement to Texas Public Radio, the Alamo Trust, which oversees the site, said that it was unaware of plans for Paxton to appear there.
The site's 'Rules of Reverence' ban gatherings involving political advocacy, public policy, or unaffiliated fundraising, regardless of party.
A Quantus Insights poll conducted between October 26th and 28th found Paxton up with the support of 49 percent of poll respondents, compared to the 48 percent who backed Talarico.
A CNN/SSRS poll published in the last week of October found Talarico to be up six points, with the support of 49 percent of respondents, while Paxton was supported by 43 percent of those polled.
Both sides see the contest as a margin-of-error race but there were some brightening signs for Democrats on Sunday.
Republican candidate for US Senate Ken Paxton speaks during a midterm campaign rally at Cullen Yards in Fort Worth, Texas on October 31, 2026
Democratic US Senate candidate James Talarico waves to the crowd at a midterm election rally in Houston, Texas
Republicans hope to pull out a win by the skin of their teeth in Texas, but both candidates have been through the wringer during the election cycle.
Paxton won his primary with Trump's endorsement, ousting incumbent Senator John Cornyn, and alienating a significant number of longtime GOP donors and voters in the process.
The US Senate seat is rated as a 'toss-up' by the Cook Political Report, and was formerly rated to be 'Republican.'
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